the 2nd annual sunshine millions goes today. the weather here in los angeles looks a bit ominous for rain, but what the hell, here goes. first the races from santa anita...
r1: elusive diva. glatt's not great with firsters, but this baby van run and she's up a against some really lumbering beginners.
r3: THE DASH. ice wynnd Fire looks like a standout and i think he's the most likely winner, after just dropping a nostrilizer to the very talented and undefeated hosco. wouldn't spend a lot of money trying to beat this guy.
r4: FILLY & MARE SPRINT. this is a real scramble as a bunch of these fillies have the ability to get the job done if they're in form. barbara o'brein looked super defeating 11 others in the chaposa springs last out, but this is california speed we're talking about here and i think she may get outrun by a lot more than 2 or 3 lengths early, which will make things a bit more difficult for her. my choice is bear fan, who is clearly not the soundest animal on the grounds with only seven starts, but she's fast, she runs well fresh and she's been working in steady fashion for ward.
r5: F & M TURF. the florida breds hold most of the aces in this turf race, ubt i'm going to back a cheap little cal-bred, breaking from the far outside, moscow burning. this filly began her career in 12.5k seller and has turned into a bit of a tigress on th lawn of late. she's obviously not as classy as many of these, but she's fit, she's in form, and she loves santa anita. better yet, she's won 3 times from outside posts, so c****ing over shouldn't bother her that much.
r6: CLASSIC. can we beat peace rules? probably not. 'rules oozes class and has been pointed to this race for his comeback for a while now. there is, however, a ton of speed signed on, so peace will probably have to rate and finish, which he's done before with success. if i was trying to beat him, i'd use excess summer, who is very sharp but making a big step up in here or the judge sez who, who has the back class to compete. i loved southern image in the malibu, but i don't like the way he's coming into his first try at a 9 furlongs.
r9: kewen. i'll be watching minsisters wild cat's run closely as that one has always had a ton of promise, but has failed to live up to the hype, but kewen is turning back in distance after running a ho-hum third behind two very nice horses, buckland manor and saint buddy. if several of these show their customary early gas, kewen could be heard from inside the 8th pole with the best in the business, jerry bailey.
AT GULFSTREAM.
r7: OAKS. silent sighs looks like a monster, runs like a monster and will win like a monster. who needsd 1/2 odds? just watch a nice filly run away for 250k.
r8: SPRINT. shake you down and valid video will take most of the wagering dollars, and deservedly so, but i like green team, who has quietly blossomed into a very hard knocking sprinter if the pace sets up for him. there's not as much speed as i would have guessed for a sprint like this, but no matter, even if shake you down is able to shake lose, green team will be coming hard to complete the exacta.
r9: DISTAFF. this looks very wide-open. i'd say house party was the most likely winner, but she's never been two turns and i don't know too many french deputy's that get better with distance. these late-running sprinters often don't make the transition to routing as easy as one would think as their kick tends to flatten out over a route. that said, i have no strong opinion in here other than to say pesci has a big shot to sprint clear and run away. she gives away a lot of seasoning, but she has won two-turning and has that wonderful thoroughbred commodity- speed.
r10: TURF. i've always liked silver tree. this is about the outer limit for a hennesy offspring, but i'll take a chance mott has him geared up to go. unfortunately, there's others to keep him company early, but if prado can get him to relax, he could spring the upset. the other one that i like is magic mecke, who seems to be putting it all together for the ultra-sharp plesa barn. he could easily setp up here and win this one as well.
good luck.
r1: elusive diva. glatt's not great with firsters, but this baby van run and she's up a against some really lumbering beginners.
r3: THE DASH. ice wynnd Fire looks like a standout and i think he's the most likely winner, after just dropping a nostrilizer to the very talented and undefeated hosco. wouldn't spend a lot of money trying to beat this guy.
r4: FILLY & MARE SPRINT. this is a real scramble as a bunch of these fillies have the ability to get the job done if they're in form. barbara o'brein looked super defeating 11 others in the chaposa springs last out, but this is california speed we're talking about here and i think she may get outrun by a lot more than 2 or 3 lengths early, which will make things a bit more difficult for her. my choice is bear fan, who is clearly not the soundest animal on the grounds with only seven starts, but she's fast, she runs well fresh and she's been working in steady fashion for ward.
r5: F & M TURF. the florida breds hold most of the aces in this turf race, ubt i'm going to back a cheap little cal-bred, breaking from the far outside, moscow burning. this filly began her career in 12.5k seller and has turned into a bit of a tigress on th lawn of late. she's obviously not as classy as many of these, but she's fit, she's in form, and she loves santa anita. better yet, she's won 3 times from outside posts, so c****ing over shouldn't bother her that much.
r6: CLASSIC. can we beat peace rules? probably not. 'rules oozes class and has been pointed to this race for his comeback for a while now. there is, however, a ton of speed signed on, so peace will probably have to rate and finish, which he's done before with success. if i was trying to beat him, i'd use excess summer, who is very sharp but making a big step up in here or the judge sez who, who has the back class to compete. i loved southern image in the malibu, but i don't like the way he's coming into his first try at a 9 furlongs.
r9: kewen. i'll be watching minsisters wild cat's run closely as that one has always had a ton of promise, but has failed to live up to the hype, but kewen is turning back in distance after running a ho-hum third behind two very nice horses, buckland manor and saint buddy. if several of these show their customary early gas, kewen could be heard from inside the 8th pole with the best in the business, jerry bailey.
AT GULFSTREAM.
r7: OAKS. silent sighs looks like a monster, runs like a monster and will win like a monster. who needsd 1/2 odds? just watch a nice filly run away for 250k.
r8: SPRINT. shake you down and valid video will take most of the wagering dollars, and deservedly so, but i like green team, who has quietly blossomed into a very hard knocking sprinter if the pace sets up for him. there's not as much speed as i would have guessed for a sprint like this, but no matter, even if shake you down is able to shake lose, green team will be coming hard to complete the exacta.
r9: DISTAFF. this looks very wide-open. i'd say house party was the most likely winner, but she's never been two turns and i don't know too many french deputy's that get better with distance. these late-running sprinters often don't make the transition to routing as easy as one would think as their kick tends to flatten out over a route. that said, i have no strong opinion in here other than to say pesci has a big shot to sprint clear and run away. she gives away a lot of seasoning, but she has won two-turning and has that wonderful thoroughbred commodity- speed.
r10: TURF. i've always liked silver tree. this is about the outer limit for a hennesy offspring, but i'll take a chance mott has him geared up to go. unfortunately, there's others to keep him company early, but if prado can get him to relax, he could spring the upset. the other one that i like is magic mecke, who seems to be putting it all together for the ultra-sharp plesa barn. he could easily setp up here and win this one as well.
good luck.
